{"id":77269,"date":"2026-05-15T09:55:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T15:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bbmnoticias.com\/labravaradiofm\/2026\/05\/15\/el-nino-llegara-a-mexico-entre-mayo-y-julio-de-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T09:56:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T15:56:09","slug":"el-nino-llegara-a-mexico-entre-mayo-y-julio-de-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bbmnoticias.com\/labravaradiofm\/2026\/05\/15\/el-nino-llegara-a-mexico-entre-mayo-y-julio-de-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o llegar\u00e1 a M\u00e9xico entre mayo y julio de 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div>\n<p>Para este 2026 se prev\u00e9 que el <strong>fen\u00f3meno <\/strong>de <strong>El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> alcance intensidades sin precedentes, luego de que el Centro de Predicciones Clim\u00e1ticas (CPC)\u00a0registrara anomal\u00edas en el Pac\u00edfico ecuatorial, con estimaciones para que el <strong>fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico<\/strong> se conforme aproximadamente entre <strong>mayo y\u00a0julio<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Existe incertidubmre considerable de la intensidad m\u00e1xima de<strong> El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>, estim\u00e1ndose actualmente un 22 por ciento para Ni\u00f1o moderado; 30 por ciento un Ni\u00f1o fuerte y <strong>37 por ciento de Ni\u00f1o muy fuerte<\/strong> para el oto\u00f1o-invierno del hemisferio norte&#8221;, apunt\u00f3.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfCu\u00e1ndo se formar\u00e1 El Ni\u00f1o?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>De acuerdo con las <strong>estimaciones<\/strong>, la neutralidad estar\u00e1 con m\u00e1s del <strong>80 por ciento por el resto de mayo<\/strong>, lo que ha alarmado a pobladores y meteor\u00f3logos, llamando &#8220;Godzilla&#8221; al escenario climatol\u00f3gico; sin embargo, expertos aclararon que los escenarios a meses de distancia suelen variar con el paso del tiempo, por lo que no garantizan que ser\u00e1 <strong>el peor Ni\u00f1o de la historia<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para el verano, se prev\u00e9 que el El Ni\u00f1o <strong>aumente la frecuencia de las precipitaciones en gran parte del centro<\/strong>, occidente, norte y la Vertiente del Golfo, con menor intensidad en el sureste. Sin embargo, las temperaturas estar\u00edan regulados por las lluvias con poco calor, exceptuando el sur.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/heraldodemexico.com.mx\/u\/fotografias\/m\/2025\/10\/10\/f768x1-1194801_1194928_5050.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FOTO: Especial<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Por su lado, Francisco Estrada Porr\u00faa, coordinador del <strong>Programa de Investigaci\u00f3n en Cambio Clim\u00e1tico<\/strong> (PINCC), detall\u00f3 que el Ni\u00f1o podr\u00eda alcanzar su punto m\u00e1ximo en septiembre y octubre y los pron\u00f3sticos sugieren que podr\u00eda alcanzar <strong>intensidades nunca antes vistas<\/strong> debido a la &#8220;barrera de predictibilidad de la primavera&#8221;, donde los pron\u00f3sticos tienen much\u00edsima m\u00e1s incertidumbre&#8221;. En este sentido, explic\u00f3 que lo alt\u00edsimamente probable es que M\u00e9xico experimentar\u00e1 un Ni\u00f1o con intensidad de moderada a alta, con probabilidades a que alcance una <strong>magnitud &#8220;hist\u00f3rica&#8221;<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los pron\u00f3sticos revelan las consecuencias sobre el calentamiento de cerca de 1.46 grados del planeta con respecto al periodo preindustrial, por lo que las condiciones clim\u00e1ticas y el comportamiento atmosf\u00e9rico ya no es el mismo.&nbsp; A\u00fan as\u00ed, se prev\u00e9 que el <strong>Ni\u00f1o <\/strong>cause importantes cambios en el clima mexicano conforme cobre fuerza, lo que aumenta las probabilidades de inundaciones en las ciudades costeras, tal y como ha ocurrido en a\u00f1os anteriores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00bfQu\u00e9 es El Ni\u00f1o y&nbsp;c\u00f3mo se conforma?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o Oscilaci\u00f3n del Sur (ENSO, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s), es una teleconexi\u00f3n entre entre el <strong>oc\u00e9ano y la atm\u00f3sfera<\/strong> que genera <strong>cambios de presi\u00f3n, vientos y temperatura<\/strong> desde Indonesia hasta el continente americano y est\u00e1 conformado por 3 fases: &#8220;El Ni\u00f1o&#8221;, &#8220;La Ni\u00f1a&#8221; y su fase neutral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, <strong>aumenta la temperatura del pac\u00edfico centro-oriental<\/strong>, lo que a su vez cambia la direcci\u00f3n de los vientos y la presi\u00f3n atmosf\u00e9rica en el pa\u00eds mexicano.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Para este 2026 se prev\u00e9 que el fen\u00f3meno de El Ni\u00f1o alcance intensidades sin precedentes, luego de que el Centro de Predicciones Clim\u00e1ticas (CPC)\u00a0registrara anomal\u00edas en el Pac\u00edfico ecuatorial, con estimaciones para que el fen\u00f3meno clim\u00e1tico se conforme aproximadamente entre mayo y\u00a0julio.\u00a0 &#8220;Existe incertidubmre considerable de la intensidad m\u00e1xima de El Ni\u00f1o, estim\u00e1ndose actualmente un [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":77271,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,19],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-77269","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-oaxaca","8":"category-nacional"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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