{"id":49032,"date":"2024-10-22T08:46:00","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T14:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bbmnoticias.com\/labravaradiofm\/?p=49032"},"modified":"2024-10-22T08:46:05","modified_gmt":"2024-10-22T14:46:05","slug":"fmi-da-doble-tijeretazo-a-mexico-recorta-pronosticos-de-2024-y-2025-por-postura-fiscal-restrictiva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bbmnoticias.com\/labravaradiofm\/2024\/10\/22\/fmi-da-doble-tijeretazo-a-mexico-recorta-pronosticos-de-2024-y-2025-por-postura-fiscal-restrictiva\/","title":{"rendered":"FMI da doble \u2018tijeretazo\u2019 a M\u00e9xico: Recorta pron\u00f3sticos de 2024 y 2025 por postura fiscal restrictiva"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El Fondo Monetario Internacional mantuvo la proyecci\u00f3n de un crecimiento d\u00e9bil para la econom\u00eda mexicana <\/strong>de 1.5 por ciento en 2024, el cual se desacelerar\u00e1 a\u00fan m\u00e1s en 2025 a 1.3 por ciento, debido al debilitamiento de la demanda interna como consecuencia del ajuste de la pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En sus Perspectivas y Pol\u00edticas Globales<\/em> difundidas este martes 22 de octubre, el FMI detall\u00f3 que prev\u00e9 un menor crecimiento para M\u00e9xico en 2025 debido a que se espera una postura fiscal m\u00e1s restrictiva.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las proyecciones para M\u00e9xico se mantienen igual que las dadas a conocer por el organismo multilateral el pasado 15 de octubre, en la revisi\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda mexicana bajo el art\u00edculo IV de su legislaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Respecto de las proyecciones que ten\u00eda el FMI en julio pasado, la estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento de M\u00e9xico para este a\u00f1o de 1.5 por ciento<\/strong> representa un recorte de 0.7 puntos porcentuales, mientras que la proyecci\u00f3n para 2025 se ajust\u00f3 a la baja en 0.3 puntos porcentuales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bfC\u00f3mo ve el FMI la inflaci\u00f3n en M\u00e9xico y la econom\u00eda mundial?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En materia de inflaci\u00f3n, el FMI expuso que los grandes pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n han experimentado revisiones al alza desde las Perspectivas de la econom\u00eda mundial de abril de 2024,<\/em> que reflejan una combinaci\u00f3n de un s\u00f3lido crecimiento salarial que impide una desinflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s r\u00e1pida <\/strong>en el sector de servicios, como son los casos de Brasil y M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Estim\u00f3 para M\u00e9xico una inflaci\u00f3n anual de 4.7 por ciento <\/strong>para el presente a\u00f1o y de 3.8 por ciento en 2025; un d\u00e9ficit en cuenta corriente que se elevar\u00e1 de 0.7 por ciento del PIB el presente a\u00f1o a 0.9 por ciento del PIB en 2025, mientras que la tasa de desempleo se elevar\u00e1 en el mismo lapso 2.2de 3 a 3.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tambi\u00e9n destac\u00f3 que los \u00faltimos cuatro a\u00f1os han puesto a prueba la resiliencia de la econom\u00eda mundial. Una pandemia \u00fanica en un siglo, el estallido de conflictos geopol\u00edticos y fen\u00f3menos meteorol\u00f3gicos extremos han interrumpido las cadenas de suministro,<\/strong> provocado crisis energ\u00e9ticas y alimentarias, obligando a los gobiernos a adoptar medidas sin precedentes para proteger vidas y medios de vida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cLa econom\u00eda mundial ha demostrado resiliencia en general, pero esto oculta un desempe\u00f1o desigual entre regiones y fragilidades persistentes<\/strong>\u201d, advirti\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El FMI mantuvo la misma estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento para la econom\u00eda mundial de 3.2 por ciento para el presente a\u00f1o como para 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para Estados Unidos prev\u00e9 un avance 2.8 por ciento en 2024 y de 2.2 por ciento en 2025, mientras que la econom\u00eda de la eurozona crecer\u00e1 apenas 0.8 por ciento este a\u00f1o y 1.2 por ciento el siguiente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En el caso de India, se espera un 7 por ciento este a\u00f1o y 6.5 por ciento en 2025, mientras que China crecer\u00e1 en el mismo periodo 4.8 y 4.5 por ciento y Brasil lo har\u00e1 en 3 por ciento y 2.2 por ciento en el mismo lapso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los shocks negativos de la oferta en la econom\u00eda mundial desde 2020 han tenido efectos duraderos en la producci\u00f3n y la inflaci\u00f3n, con impactos variados en los distintos pa\u00edses y grupos de pa\u00edses, recalc\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los contrastes m\u00e1s marcados se dan entre las econom\u00edas avanzadas y las econom\u00edas en desarrollo. Los pa\u00edses emergentes muestran cicatrices m\u00e1s permanentes, <\/strong>con grandes ca\u00eddas de la producci\u00f3n y una inflaci\u00f3n persistente. Tambi\u00e9n siguen siendo m\u00e1s vulnerables a los tipos de aumentos repentinos de los precios de las materias primas que siguieron a la invasi\u00f3n rusa de Ucrania.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Fondo Monetario Internacional mantuvo la proyecci\u00f3n de un crecimiento d\u00e9bil para la econom\u00eda mexicana de 1.5 por ciento en 2024, el cual se desacelerar\u00e1 a\u00fan m\u00e1s en 2025 a 1.3 por ciento, debido al debilitamiento de la demanda interna como consecuencia del ajuste de la pol\u00edtica monetaria. En sus Perspectivas y Pol\u00edticas Globales difundidas […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":49033,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1025,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destacado","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"\nFMI da doble \u2018tijeretazo\u2019 a M\u00e9xico: Recorta pron\u00f3sticos de 2024 y 2025 por postura fiscal restrictiva - LA BRAVA RADIO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbmnoticias.com\/labravaradiofm\/2024\/10\/22\/fmi-da-doble-tijeretazo-a-mexico-recorta-pronosticos-de-2024-y-2025-por-postura-fiscal-restrictiva\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FMI da doble \u2018tijeretazo\u2019 a M\u00e9xico: Recorta pron\u00f3sticos de 2024 y 2025 por postura fiscal restrictiva - LA BRAVA RADIO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El Fondo Monetario Internacional mantuvo la proyecci\u00f3n de un crecimiento d\u00e9bil para la econom\u00eda mexicana de 1.5 por ciento en 2024, el cual se desacelerar\u00e1 a\u00fan m\u00e1s en 2025 a 1.3 por ciento, debido al debilitamiento de la demanda interna como consecuencia del ajuste de la pol\u00edtica monetaria. 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